Home  Contact Us
  Follow Us On:
 
Search:
Advertising Advertising Free Newsletter Free E-Newsletter
NEWS

China could boost fertility, register 10 million newborns in 2030
Published on: 2023-02-20
Share to
User Rating: / 0
PoorBest 

A report on China’s population development was released by the YuWa Population Research think tank on Friday, in which it made predictions about population trends, as the country faces population downward pressure and has introduced various policies to bolster the fertility rate.
 

The think tank was established by a group of demographers and economists, including economics professor at Peking University Liang Jianzhang.


In 2022, the population in the Chinese mainland registered first negative growth in 61 years, decreasing by 850,000 year-on-year to 1.4118 billion, data released in January by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed.


The number of births was 9.56 million with the birth rate standing at 6.77 births per 1,000 people in 2022, the lowest since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949, data from the NBS showed.


However, the number of new births could return to more than 10 million by 2030, as long as there are sufficient economic incentives, according to Liang.


It is estimated that if the country implements various effective policies to fully encourage birthrate, it’s possible to raise the fertility rate to 1.4, which is close to the average fertility rate in developed countries, Liang said during a press briefing on Friday. Under this condition, there will be 10.62 million new births in 2030 and the total population is expected to stand at 1.29 billion in 2050, according to the report.


Observers have said that the negative growth of population is the inevitable result of the country’s long-term low fertility rate, however, its demographic dividend will not disappear.


梁建章等发布《中国人口预测报告2023版》:生育减负到了刻不容缓的时间节点


2月17日,育娲人口研究发布《中国人口预测报告2023版》,这份人口报告由梁建章、任泽平、黄文政、及何亚福等专家共同完成。报告预测,在不采取实质生育减负政策的情况下,中国总人口2100年将降至4.79亿,占世界比例将从现在的17%降至4.8%,新出生人口为世界新出生人口的0.89%。人口大国将变为人口小国。


但这些下降趋势并非不可改变,只要进行足够的GDP投入,新生人口在2030年有望重回千万以上。梁建章呼吁:“建议建立‘国家人口政策委员会’来制定各项政策,以此应对人口危机的灰犀牛。”

Comments (0)Add Comment

Write comment

security code
Write the displayed characters


busy
    Subscription    |     Advertising    |     Contact Us    |
Address: Magnetic Plaza, Building A4, 6th Floor, Binshui Xi Dao.
Nankai District. 300381 TIANJIN. PR CHINA
Tel: +86 22 23917700
E-mail: webmaster@businesstianjin.com
Copyright 2024 BusinessTianjin.com. All rights reserved.